Post-23 Archives – Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Operating from Medellin and the World Congress of the International Economic Association (IEA).

GLO Admin — Thu, 14 Dec 2023 18:00:00 +0000

Medellin, EAFIT December 11-15, 2023. World Congress of the International Economic Association (IEA) with over 1,000 participants from all parts of the world. Fantastic organization, up to the highest standards both form the local setting as well as from the quality of the academic program. Congratulations to EAFIT & IEA for an outstanding conference.

GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann is participating to represent GLO at the Executive Board and Council Meeting of IEA, speak with authors and potential contributors of the Journal of Population Economics as its Editor-in-Chief and presenting some of his research on “Parental Gender Stereotypes and Student Wellbeing in China”.

The GLO President was just recently elected Senator of Leopoldina and Chair (“Obmann”) of its Section 25 “Economics and Empirical Social Sciences” starting on December 13, 2023 for a period of 4 years. Leopoldina originated in 1652 as a classical scholarly society and is the German National Academy of Sciences. It complements his earlier work as Section Chair of the Section “Economics, Business and Management Sciences”, Academia Europaea, the European Academy of Sciences, over 2014 – 2021.

Below: left Andreu Mas-Colell; middle Ashwini Deshpande; right: Steven Durlauf, John Earle, Kaushik Basu, Martin Kahanec

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The post Operating from Medellin and the World Congress of the International Economic Association (IEA). appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

GLO: Happy Holidays & Season’s Greetings!

GLO Admin — Sat, 09 Dec 2023 09:00:00 +0000

Best wishes and thanks for all the support we have received in 2023!

Happy Holidays & Season’s Greetings!

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The post GLO: Happy Holidays & Season’s Greetings! appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

2024 Kuznets Prize Awarded to Yinjunjie Zhang & Robert Breunig of the Australian National University for their research on female breadwinning and domestic abuse in Australia.

GLO Admin — Thu, 30 Nov 2023 03:00:00 +0000

Yinjunjie Jacquelyn Zhang and Robert Breunig of the Australian National University receive the 2024 Kuznets Prize for their OPEN ACCESS article Female breadwinning and domestic abuse: evidence from Australia, which was published in the Journal of Population Economics (2023), 36, pp. 2925–2965. The annual prize honors the best article published in the Journal of Population Economics in the previous year.

The prize will be awarded in a public online event during the 2023 GLO – JOPE Global Conference on December 4, 2023 on 10:00 pm – 12.00 am CET Berlin = December 4, 2023 on 16:00 pm – 18.00 pm EST Philadelphia = December 5, 2023 on 8:00 am – 10:00 am AEDT Sydney. For the program and to register for the event see LINK.

December 6, 2023: Missed the event? Here is the video of the session.
VIDEO of GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 Sessions A6-A7 (Kuznets Prize Session)

Yinjunjie Zhang (Jacquelyn)

Robert Breunig

Biographical Abstracts

Yinjunjie Zhang (Jacquelyn) is a research fellow affiliated at Arndt-Corden Department of Economics and Tax and Transfer Policy Institute in Crawford School of Public Policy at Australian National University. Dr Zhang obtained her PhD at Texas A&M University in 2018. She has her research interest spanning the areas of labor economics, public economics, and experimental economics. A common thread is in understanding the impact of public policy on people’s behavior, choice, and welfare. She has published research articles in peer-reviewed economic journals and worked on a range of research projects aimed at providing insights on social policies and labor market outcomes.

Robert Breunig is the director of the Tax and Transfer Policy Institute at the Crawford School of Public Policy. He is one of Australia’s leading Public Policy Economists. He has published in over 50 international academic journals in economics and public policy. Professor Breunig has made significant policy impact through a number of his research projects: the relationship between child care and women’s labor supply; the effect of immigration to Australia on the labor market prospects of Australians; the effect of switching to cash from food stamps in the U.S. food stamp program and the inter-generational transmission of disadvantage. Professor Breunig’s research is motivated by important social policy issues and debates. His work is characterized by careful empirical study and appropriate use of statistical technique.

Paper Abstract

We explore the relationship between heterosexual partners’ relative income and the incidence of both domestic violence and emotional abuse. Using Australian data drawn from society-wide surveys, we find women who earn more than their male partners are subject to a 33% increase in partner violence and a 20% increase in emotional abuse compared to mean levels. We show the relationship between relative spouse income and female partner abuse is best modelled by a binary variable that captures “female breadwinning.” This finding differs from those of some earlier studies that considered only serious abuse and found a continuous negative relationship between female partners’ relative income and abuse. Instead, our findings suggest a mechanism related to gender norms generating domestic violence. We find no link between relative income and abuse of male partners.

More about the Kuznets Prize & previous prize winners.

Further research & video presentations on domestic violence in the Journal of Population Economics:

JOPE Collections and calls for papers: One focus (collection) is Sexual and Domestic Violence. JOPE Associate Editors Astghik Mavisakalyan and Dave Ribar are important advisors in the JOPE Editorial Board for this focus.

Recommended reading:
Prettyman, A., Ribar, D.C. (2022). Child Abuse and Neglect. In: Zimmermann, K.F. (eds) Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57365-6_234-1
Hsu, L., Henke, A. (2022). Intimate Partner Violence. In: Zimmermann, K.F. (eds) Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57365-6_309-2

*****

The Sixth IESR-GLO Joint Workshop at Jinan University, October 26-27, 2023, had covered papers on “Gender Issues and Domestic Violence”: REPORT

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The post 2024 Kuznets Prize Awarded to Yinjunjie Zhang & Robert Breunig of the Australian National University for their research on female breadwinning and domestic abuse in Australia. appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Announcement: GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 will take place online December 4-6. Paper highlights, strategy & 2024 Kuznets Prize

GLO Admin — Tue, 28 Nov 2023 00:00:00 +0000

A 3-days online event on December 4-6 celebrates recent successes and informs about publication highlights from 2023 issues 3 and 4 of the Journal of Population Economics (JOPE). New JOPE publication directions are explained. The 2024 JOPE Kuznets Prize for the best paper published in 2023 is presented.

Event presents highlights of JOPE articles of issues 3 + 4 of 2023
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/volumes-and-issues/36-3
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/volumes-and-issues/36-4
Kuznets Prize Ceremony
Journal Success Report (IF: 6.1; CiteScore: 9.2)
JOPE 2023 report and announcements
Exciting news: JOPE has now moved to a zero-backlog policy implying immediate publication of all newly published papers into the running quarterly issue of the journal. JOPE will start in 2024 with about two dozens of high quality research papers.
General time-frame all CET (Dec 4: 3pm-12am; Dec 5: 2pm-5pm; Dec 6: 2pm-4:15pm)
CET – Central European Time: Time Zone Converter
You need to register for all three days separately, see below.
NOTE: The event is video-taped.

Full Program below: Current draft December 6, 2023, 7:00 am CET Berlin

GLO – JOPE 2023 Global Conference, Dec 4-6

ALL CET – Central European Time: Time Zone Converter

DAY I – MONDAY, DEC 4: 3 pm – 12 am CET

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VIDEO of GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 Sessions A1-A5
VIDEO of GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 Sessions A6-A7 (Kuznets Prize Session)

A1 – Environment, Weather, Climate – Chair: JOPE Editor Shuaizhang Feng

3:00 pm. Jia Wu, Lin, J. & Han, X. Compensation for girls in early childhood and its long-run impact: family investment strategies under rainfall shocks. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00901-5 Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbILc

3:15 pm. Xin Zhang, Zhang, X., Liu, Y. et al. The morbidity costs of air pollution through the Lens of Health Spending in China. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00948-y
Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbIPy

3:30 pm. Yue Hua, Qiu, Y. & Tan, X. The effects of temperature on mental health: evidence from China. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00932-y Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbKwT

3:45 pm. Masahiro Shoji Gendered effects of early childhood weather shocks on locus of control: evidence from 28 agricultural countries. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00923-z Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbKyE

4:00 pm. BREAK

A2 – Health, Vaccinations, Risky Behaviors – Chair: JOPE Editor Xi Chen

4:30 pm. Yarine Fawaz, Mira, P. Social isolation, health dynamics, and mortality: evidence across 21 European countries. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00956-y Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCU8

4:50 pm. Beghelli, S., Augustin De Coulon & O’Mahony, M. Health benefits of reducing aircraft pollution: evidence from changes in flight paths. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00964-y OPEN ACCESS.

5:10 pm. Elodie Djemai, Renard, Y. & Samson, AL. Mothers and fathers: education, co-residence, and child health. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00966-w Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dlAFr

5:30 pm. BREAK

A3 – Education – Chair: JOPE Editor Alfonso Flores-Lagunes

6:00 pm. Kendall Kennedy Hidden schooling: endogenous measurement error and bias in education and labor market experience. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00918-w Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbKxP

6:15 pm. Ruzica Savcic, Theodoropoulos, N. & Xefteris, D. Conscription and educational outcomes. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00944-2 Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diC0V

6:30 pm. BREAK

A4 + A5 – Migration and Refugee Issues – Chair: JOPE Editor Alfonso Flores-Lagunes

7:00 pm. Yuanyuan Chen, Fu, W. Migration control policy and parent–child separation among migrant families: evidence from China. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00971-z Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCUx

7:15 pm. El-Bialy, N., Aranda, E.F., Andreas Nicklisch, A. Voigt, S. et al. No man is an island: trust, trustworthiness, and social networks among refugees in Germany.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00969-7 OPEN ACCESS.

7:30 pm. Robert Bernhardt., Wunnava, P.V. Does asking about citizenship increase labor survey non-response? https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00945-1
Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCZ4

7:45pm. Kovacic, M., Cristina Elisa Orso Who’s afraid of immigration? The effect of economic preferences on tolerance. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00947-z OPEN ACCESS

8:00 pm. BREAK

A6 – Gender Issues and Preferences – Chair: JOPE Editor Kompal Sinha.

Note that December 4, 2023, 10:00 pm – 12.00 am CET Berlin = December 4, 2023 on 16:00 pm – 18.00 pm EST Philadelphia = December 5, 2023, 8:00 am – 10:00 am AEDT Sydney.
Time Zone Converter

10:00 pm. Jones, T.R., Matthew Millington & Price, J. Changes in parental gender preference in the USA: evidence from 1850 to 2019. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00957-x Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCXe

10:20 pm. Yinjunjie Zhang & Robert Breunig (Australian National University)
Female breadwinning and domestic abuse: evidence from Australia https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00975-9 OPEN ACCESS.
Kuznets Prize 2024 winning paper for the best JOPE article published in 2023. MORE INFO.
Questions & remarks: GLO VirtYS Scholars 2023/2024
Tarana Chauhan (Cornell University) & Xinyan Liu (Chinese University of Hong Kong)

11:00 pm.

A7 – JOPE Annual Report & JOPE Kuznets Prize Ceremony. Chair: JOPE Editor Kompal Sinha.

JOPE Annual Report: Klaus F. Zimmermann (JOPE & GLO)

The Kuznets Prize Ceremony: Kompal Sinha (Macquarie University)

Kuznets Prize Laudatio: Astghik Mavisakalyan (Curtin University)

Response: Kuznets Prize Winner

12:00 am. END OF DAY I

DAY II – TUESDAY, DEC 5: 2 pm – 5 pm CET

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VIDEO of GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 Sessions B1-B3

B1 & B2 – Family & Fertility: Chair: JOPE Editor Milena Nikolova

2:00 pm. Jisoo Hwang, Kim, S.K. Unexpected longevity, intergenerational policies, and fertility. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00943-3 OPEN ACCESS

2:15 pm. Anna Adamecz-Völgyi, A., Henderson, M. & Shure, N. The labor market returns to “first-in-family” university graduates. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00908-y OPEN ACCESS

2:30 pm. Congdon Fors, H., Annika Lindskog Son preference and education Inequalities in India: the role of gender-biased fertility strategies and preferential treatment of boys. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00941-5 OPEN ACCESS

2:45 pm. Casarico, A., Elena del Rey Canteli, E. & Silva, J.I. Child care costs, household liquidity constraints, and gender inequality. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00936-2 OPEN ACCESS

3:00 pm. Casarico, A., Salvatore Lattanzio Behind the child penalty: understanding what contributes to the labour market costs of motherhood. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00937-1 Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbIRU

3:15 pm. BREAK

B3 – Fertility and Marriage – Chair: JOPE Editor Terra McKinnish

4:00 pm. Jie Zhang, Liu, H. Differential fertility, school enrollment, and development. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00954-0 OPEN ACCESS.

4:15 pm. Madhulika Khanna, Kochhar, N.: Do marriage markets respond to a natural disaster? The impact of flooding of the Kosi river in India. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00955-z Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCVT

4:30 pm. Bastian Schulz, Siuda, F. Marriage and divorce: the role of unemployment insurance. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00961-1 OPEN ACCESS.

B4 – Aspirations and Preferences – Chair: JOPE Editor Terra McKinnish

VIDEO of GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 Session B4

4:45 pm. Otrachshenko, V., Nikolova, M. & Olga Popova Double-edged sword: persistent effects of Communist regime affiliations on well-being and preferences. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00930-0 OPEN ACCESS.

5:00 pm. END OF DAY II

DAY III – WEDNESDAY, DEC 6: 2 pm – 4:15 pm CET

ZOOM REGISTRATION LINK FOR DAY III: terminated
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VIDEO of GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 Sessions C1-C3

C1 & C2 – Historical Demography – Chair: JOPE Editor Oded Galor

2:00 pm. Raphael Franck The impact of industrialization on secondary schooling during the industrial revolution: evidence from nineteenth-century France.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00962-0 Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCUM

2:15 pm. Angus Chu Natural selection and Neanderthal extinction in a Malthusian economy. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00939-z Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbJ00

2:30 pm. Bai, Y., Yanjun Li & Lam, P.H. Quantity-quality trade-off in Northeast China during the Qing dynasty. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00933-x
Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbJ1F

2:45 pm. BREAK

3:15 pm. Kwan Lee The impact of a local human capital shock: evidence from World War II veterans. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-022-00919-9 Readlink: https://rdcu.be/dbKzA

3:30 pm. Sijie Hu Survival of the literati: Social status and reproduction in Ming–Qing China. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00960-2 Readlink: https://rdcu.be/diCX5

C3 – Retirement – Chair: JOPE Editor Gregory Ponthiere

3:45 pm. Enrique Pardo Reinoso Mandatory retirement savings in the presence of an informal labor market. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-023-00967-9 OPEN ACCESS.

Final Remarks – Season’s Greetings – Chair: JOPE Managing Editor Madeline Zavodny

4:00 pm – 4:15 pm. Remarks and conference ending.

The post Announcement: GLO-JOPE Global Conference 2023 will take place online December 4-6. Paper highlights, strategy & 2024 Kuznets Prize appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Just another cog in the machine? A worker-level view of robotization and tasks. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Milena Nikolova, Anthony Lepinteur and Femke Cnossen.

GLO Admin — Mon, 27 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that while robotization reduces physically demanding activities, the reduction in manual work does not coincide with a shift to more challenging and interesting tasks.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1350, 2023

Just another cog in the machine? A worker-level view of robotization and tasks – Download PDF
by Nikolova, Milena & Lepinteur, Anthony & Cnossen, Femke

GLO Fellows Milena Nikolova, Anthony Lepinteur and Fe mke Cnossen

Milena Nikolova

Anthony Lepinteur

Femke Cnossen

Author Abstract: Using survey data from 20 European countries, we construct novel worker-level indices of routine, abstract, social, and physical tasks across 20 European countries, which we combine with industry-level robotization exposure. Our conceptual framework builds on the insight that robotization simultaneously replaces, creates, and modifies workers’ tasks and studies how these forces impact workers’ job content. We rely on instrumental variable techniques and show that robotization reduces physically demanding activities. Yet, this reduction in manual work does not coincide with a shift to more challenging and interesting tasks. Instead, robotization makes workers’ tasks more routine, while diminishing the opportunities for cognitively challenging work and human contact. The adverse impact of robotization on social tasks is particularly pronounced for highly skilled and educated workers. Our study offers a unique worker-centric viewpoint on the interplay between technology and tasks, highlighting nuances that macro-level indicators overlook. As such, it sheds light on the mechanisms underpinning the impact of robotization on labor markets.

Featured image: Alex-Knight-on-Unsplash

Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

December 4-6: Global Online GLO-JOPE Conference 2023 on ‘Population Economics’ with highlights of the Journal of Population Economics (JOPE) issues 3 & 4 of 2023 including the presentation of the JOPE 2024 Kuznets Prize. More information forthcoming.

JUST PUBLISHED
Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023. Covered issues: Historical demography; fertility and marriage; migration and refugee issues; health, vaccinations, risky behaviors; education; retirement; gender issues and preferences

CALL FOR PAPERS
JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
– Abortions
– Covid-19 and diseases
– Lifecycle fertility models
– Sexual and domestic violence
– Sexuality including LGBT issues
– Statistics & measurement of population economics
For more details and for examples of already published papers in these collections see:
https://glabor.org/collections-journal-of-population-economics-invites-paper-submissions-in-six-research-areas/
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/collections
JOPE Collections are a set of published papers on issues of significant relevance for the journal. Authors are continuously invited to submit their related work for evaluation stating their specific interest to contribute in the submission cover letter. JOPE Editors will treat those submissions with particular interest and speedy handling. Articles will be immediately published after final acceptance.

GLO Discussion Papers are research and policy papers of the GLO Network which are widely circulated to encourage discussion. Provided in cooperation with EconStor, a service of the ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, GLO Discussion Papers are among others listed in RePEc (see IDEAS, EconPapers). Complete list of all GLO DPs – downloadable for free.

The Global Labor Organization (GLO) is an independent, non-partisan and non-governmental organization that functions as an international network and virtual platform to stimulate global research, debate and collaboration.

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The post Just another cog in the machine? A worker-level view of robotization and tasks. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Milena Nikolova, Anthony Lepinteur and Femke Cnossen. appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Cultural similarity and migration: New evidence from a gravity model of international migration. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Affiliate Tobias Grohmann.

GLO Admin — Sun, 26 Nov 2023 14:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds no support for the hypothesized positive effect of cultural similarity. However, religious similarity has a significant negative effect on migration.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1349, 2023

GLO Affiliate Tobias Grohmann

Author Abstract: Theory suggests that cultural similarity increases migration flows between countries. This paper brings best practices from the trade gravity literature to migration to test this prediction. In my preferred specification, I use lags of time-varying similarity variables in a panel of international and domestic migration flows (>200 countries, 1990-2019, 5-year intervals) and estimate a theory-consistent structural gravity model with origin-year, destination-year, and corridor fixed effects. The results do not show the hypothesized positive effect of cultural similarity on migration. Instead, religious similarity has a significant negative effect on migration, while WVS-based attitudinal similarities regarding individualism, indulgence, and trust are insignificant. Additional results suggest that cultural selection and sorting can explain these findings, where migrants are attracted by destinations that are culturally similar to their personal cultural beliefs rather than the average cultural beliefs of their home country. Results of a two-stage fixed effects (TSFE) procedure and a gravity-specific matching estimator, which both allow the estimation of time-invariant similarity variables, confirm that the relationship between cultural similarity and migration is more nuanced than previously thought.

Featured image: joshua-hoehne-on-unsplash

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The post Cultural similarity and migration: New evidence from a gravity model of international migration. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Affiliate Tobias Grohmann. appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Theory and Empirics of Short-Time Work: A Review. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Muriel Dejemeppe and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Wed, 22 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that the positive impact in the short term still makes short-time work desirable even without positive employment effects in the long term.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1348, 2023

Theory and Empirics of Short-Time Work: A Review – Download PDF
by Bermudez, Natalia & , Muriel & Tarullo, Giulia

GLO Fellow Muriel Dejemeppe

Author Abstract: Following massive take-up rates during the COVID-19 period, short-time work (STW) policies have attracted renewed interest. In this paper, we take stock of this policy instrument and provide a critical review of STW systems in Europe. We focus on the objectives of STW programs and their primary characteristics, as well as the inefficiencies associated with these policies, such as excessive use and slower worker reallocation. Additionally, we take a stroll through the main contributions of STW impact evaluations. Finally, we identify relevant directions for the refinement of the main design features of the scheme, key lessons, and avenues for future research.

Featured image: Jose-Antonio-Gallego-Vázquez-on-Unsplash

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You’ll never walk alone: Unemployment, social networks and leisure activities. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Matteo Picchio and Mattia Filomena.

GLO Admin — Tue, 21 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper using Dutch panel data finds that unemployment does not lead to social exclusion.

Matteo Picchio

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1346, 2023

You’ll never walk alone: Unemployment, social networks and leisure activities – Download PDF
by Filomena, Mattia & Picchio, Matteo

GLO Fellow Matteo Picchio

Author Abstract: We analyse how unemployment affects individuals’ social networks, leisure activities, and the related satisfaction measures. Using the LISS panel, a representative longitudinal survey of the Dutch population, we estimate the effects by inverse propensity score weighting in a difference-in-differences design in order to deal with unobserved heterogeneity and unbalanced covariate distribution between treated and control units potentially associated with the dynamics of the outcome variables. We find that, after job loss, individuals increase their network size by strengthening their closest contacts within the family, spending more time with neighbors, and making more use of social media. Although they devote their extra leisure time mostly to private activities, our results do not support the hypothesis of social exclusion following unemployment.

Featured image: Jose-Antonio-Gallego-Vázquez-on-Unsplash

Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

December 4-6: Global Online GLO-JOPE Conference 2023 on ‘Population Economics’ with highlights of JOPE issues 3 & 4 of 2023 including the presentation of the JOPE 2024 Kuznets Prize. More information forthcoming.

JUST PUBLISHED
Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023. Covered issues: Historical demography; fertility and marriage; migration and refugee issues; health, vaccinations, risky behaviors; education; retirement; gender issues and preferences

CALL FOR PAPERS
JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
– Abortions
– Covid-19 and diseases
– Lifecycle fertility models
– Sexual and domestic violence
– Sexuality including LGBT issues
– Statistics & measurement of population economics
For more details and for examples of already published papers in these collections see:
https://glabor.org/collections-journal-of-population-economics-invites-paper-submissions-in-six-research-areas/
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/collections
JOPE Collections are a set of published papers on issues of significant relevance for the journal. Authors are continuously invited to submit their related work for evaluation stating their specific interest to contribute in the submission cover letter. JOPE Editors will treat those submissions with particular interest and speedy handling. Articles will be immediately published after final acceptance.

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The post You’ll never walk alone: Unemployment, social networks and leisure activities. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Matteo Picchio and Mattia Filomena. appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Nonmonetary Awards and Innovation: Evidence from Winning China’s Top Brand Contest. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Zhiming Cheng and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Mon, 20 Nov 2023 02:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that firms that received the China Top Brand Award have a higher number, and better quality, of filed patents.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1345, 2023

Nonmonetary Awards and Innovation: Evidence from Winning China’s Top Brand Contest – Download PDF
by Luo, Lianfa & Cheng, Zhiming & Ye, Qingqing & Cheng, Yanjun & Smyth, Russell & Yang, Zhiqing & Zhang, Le

GLO Fellow Zhiming Cheng

Author Abstract: We use the short-lived, but high-profile, China Top Brand Award to examine the causal effects of nonmonetary awards on firm innovation. To do so, we create a panel dataset by matching official China Top Brand Award recipients to the innovation outputs of listed companies. Results from difference-in-differences estimates show that firms that received the China Top Brand Award have a higher number, and better quality, of filed patents. We find that the positive effects of winning the China Top Brand Award on innovation outputs operate through higher government subsidies to winning firms. We also find that the positive effects of award-winning are stronger among state-owned enterprises, larger enterprises, and better-performing enterprises, as well as in provinces with stronger intellectual property rights protection. Our results are robust to a series of sensitivity checks.

Featured image: aaron-greenwood-unsplash

Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

December 4-6: Global Online GLO-JOPE Conference 2023 on ‘Population Economics’ with highlights of JOPE issues 3 & 4 of 2023 including the presentation of the JOPE 2024 Kuznets Prize. More information forthcoming.

JUST PUBLISHED
Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023. Covered issues: Historical demography; fertility and marriage; migration and refugee issues; health, vaccinations, risky behaviors; education; retirement; gender issues and preferences

CALL FOR PAPERS
JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
– Abortions
– Covid-19 and diseases
– Lifecycle fertility models
– Sexual and domestic violence
– Sexuality including LGBT issues
– Statistics & measurement of population economics
For more details and for examples of already published papers in these collections see:
https://glabor.org/collections-journal-of-population-economics-invites-paper-submissions-in-six-research-areas/
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/collections
JOPE Collections are a set of published papers on issues of significant relevance for the journal. Authors are continuously invited to submit their related work for evaluation stating their specific interest to contribute in the submission cover letter. JOPE Editors will treat those submissions with particular interest and speedy handling. Articles will be immediately published after final acceptance.

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The post Nonmonetary Awards and Innovation: Evidence from Winning China’s Top Brand Contest. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Zhiming Cheng and colleagues. appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Does Global Warming Worsen Poverty and Inequality? An Updated Review. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Hai-Anh Dang and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Sat, 18 Nov 2023 14:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds temperature change has larger impacts in the short term and more impacts on chronic poverty than transient poverty.

Hai-Anh Dang

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1347, 2023

Does Global Warming Worsen Poverty and Inequality? An Updated Review – Download PDF
by Dang, Hai-Anh H. & Hallegatte, Stephane & Trinh, Trong-Anh

GLO Fellow Hai-Anh Dang

Author Abstract: We offer an updated and comprehensive review of recent studies on the impact of climate change, particularly global warming, on poverty and inequality, paying special attention to data sources as well as empirical methods. While studies consistently find negative impacts of higher temperature on poverty across different geographical regions, with higher vulnerability especially in poorer Sub-Saharan Africa, there is inclusive evidence on climate change impacts on inequality. Further analyzing a recently constructed global database at the subnational unit level derived from official national household income and consumption surveys, we find that temperature change has larger impacts in the short term and more impacts on chronic poverty than transient poverty. The results are robust to different model specifications and measures of chronic poverty and are more pronounced for poorer countries. Our findings offer relevant inputs into current efforts to fight climate change.

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Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

December 4-6: Global Online GLO-JOPE Conference 2023 on ‘Population Economics’ with highlights of JOPE issues 3 & 4 of 2023 including the presentation of the JOPE 2024 Kuznets Prize. More information forthcoming.

JUST PUBLISHED
Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023. Covered issues: Historical demography; fertility and marriage; migration and refugee issues; health, vaccinations, risky behaviors; education; retirement; gender issues and preferences

CALL FOR PAPERS
JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
– Abortions
– Covid-19 and diseases
– Lifecycle fertility models
– Sexual and domestic violence
– Sexuality including LGBT issues
– Statistics & measurement of population economics
For more details and for examples of already published papers in these collections see:
https://glabor.org/collections-journal-of-population-economics-invites-paper-submissions-in-six-research-areas/
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/collections
JOPE Collections are a set of published papers on issues of significant relevance for the journal. Authors are continuously invited to submit their related work for evaluation stating their specific interest to contribute in the submission cover letter. JOPE Editors will treat those submissions with particular interest and speedy handling. Articles will be immediately published after final acceptance.

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Wage and Employment Cyclicalities at the Establishment Level. A new GLO Discussion paper by GLO Fellow Christian Merkl and Heiko Stüber.

GLO Admin — Wed, 15 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that acyclical and countercyclical wage establishments are key drivers for stronger labor market reactions in recessions than in booms.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1344, 2023

Wage and Employment Cyclicalities at the Establishment Level – Download PDF
by Merkl, Christian & Stüber, Heiko

GLO Fellow Christian Merkl

Author Abstract: Although the quantitative relationship between employment cyclicality and wage cyclicality is central for the dynamics of macroeconomic models, there is little empirical evidence on this topic. We use the German AWFP dataset to document that wage cyclicalities are very heterogeneous across establishments. Based on this heterogeneity, we estimate the relationship between employment cyclicality and wage cyclicality at the establishment level. We use this micro-estimate as a calibration target for a macro labor market flow model with heterogeneous wage dynamics that nests the standard search and matching model. Based on this micro-macro linkage, we provide a new quantitative benchmark for the role of wage rigidity in search and matching models. Furthermore, we show that acyclical and countercyclical wage establishments are key drivers for stronger labor market reactions in recessions than in booms.

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Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

JUST PUBLISHED
ONLINE FIRST: 32 articles forthcoming in Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023. Covered issues: Historical demography; fertility and marriage; migration and refugee issues; health, vaccinations, risky behaviors; education; retirement; gender issues and preferences

CALL FOR PAPERS
JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
– Abortions
– Covid-19 and diseases
– Lifecycle fertility models
– Sexual and domestic violence
– Sexuality including LGBT issues
– Statistics & measurement of population economics
For more details and for examples of already published papers in these collections see:
https://glabor.org/collections-journal-of-population-economics-invites-paper-submissions-in-six-research-areas/
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/collections
JOPE Collections are a set of published papers on issues of significant relevance for the journal. Authors are continuously invited to submit their related work for evaluation stating their specific interest to contribute in the submission cover letter. JOPE Editors will treat those submissions with particular interest and speedy handling. Articles will be immediately published after final acceptance.

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Time allocation of daughters-in-law and mothers-in-law in India: The role of education as bargaining power. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Leena Bhattacharya.

GLO Admin — Tue, 14 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper using time-use data for India suggests that policies that aim to increase women’s education and promote gender-equal attitudes among men can enhance the daughter-in-law’s bargaining power and time allocation.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1343, 2023

Time allocation of daughters-in-law and mothers-in-law in India: The role of education as bargaining power – Download PDF
by Bhattacharya, Leena

GLO Fellow Leena Bhattacharya

Video presentation of the paper

Author Abstract: The paper addresses the less-researched topic of intrahousehold dynamics of female in-laws in developing countries by focusing on the bargaining between mother-in-law and daughter-inlaw and its influence on the latter’s time allocation. Using the first nationally representative Time Use Survey of India, 2019, the paper answers two questions. First, how does the presence of the parents-in-law, particularly the mother-in-law, shape the daughter-in-law’s distribution of time between paid and unpaid activities? Second, how does the relative bargaining power among the female in-laws affect the daughter-in-law’s time allocation across different activities, where their education levels are used as indicators of bargaining power? The findings show that the daughter-in-law’s participation in paid work increases in the presence of her mother-in-law and she allocates more time to paid work and less time to household production. The effect is evident for the daughters-in-law who co-reside with mothers-in-law who have completed at least secondary education. The mother-in-law’s time allocated to household production and childcare increases when she co-resides with a daughter-in-law who has completed tertiary education. The father-in-law’s presence consistently diminishes the daughter-in-law’s engagement in paid work and increases both women’s time spent on household production. Heterogeneity in results is observed by socio-religious groups and by the extent of patriarchy in the state of residence. Overall, the results suggest that policies that aim to increase women’s education and promote gender-equal attitudes among men can enhance the daughter-in-law’s bargaining power and time allocation.

Featured image: Trevor-Cole-on-Unsplash

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Social Insurance against a Short Life: Ante-Mortem versus Post-Mortem Policies. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Gregory Ponthiere.

GLO Admin — Mon, 13 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper compares two insurance devices reducing well-being volatility due to the risk of early death finding that a youth allowance leads to a higher lifetime well-being.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1342, 2023

Social Insurance against a Short Life: Ante-Mortem versus Post-Mortem Policies – Download PDF
by Ponthiere, Gregory

GLO Fellow Gregory Ponthiere

Author Abstract: Welfare States do not insure citizens against the risk of premature death, i.e., the risk of having a short life. Using a dynamic OLG model with risky lifetime, this paper compares two insurance devices reducing well-being volatility due to the risk of early death: (i) an ante-mortem age-based statistical discrimination policy that consists of an allowance given to all young adults (including the unidentified adults who will die early); (ii) a post-mortem subsidy on accidental bequests due to early death. Each policy is financed by taxing old-age consumption. Whereas each device can yield full insurance, the youth allowance is shown to imply a higher lifetime well-being at the stationary equilibrium. The marginal utility of consumption exceeding the marginal utility of giving when being dead, the youth allowances system is, despite imperfect targeting, a more efficient mechanism of insurance against the risk of early death.

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Congratulations, Professor Galor!

GLO Admin — Sat, 11 Nov 2023 05:01:00 +0000

Oded Galor

Today, we celebrate the 70th birthday of Professor Oded Galor, a North Star in the field of economics. His groundbreaking work has illuminated our understanding of humanity’s economic journey. His dedication to research has inspired countless individuals around the world. The Journal of Population Economics and the GLO global network is grateful for his endless support and great inspirations. On this special day, we honor his remarkable contributions and wish him a very happy birthday. May his path continue to be marked by curiosity, discovery, and success.

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The societal costs of inflation and unemployment. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Olga Popova & Milena Nikolova and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Tue, 07 Nov 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper analyzing a dataset of over 1.9 million individuals from 156 countries finds that both inflation and unemployment associates negatively with confidence in financial institutions.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1341, 2023

The societal costs of inflation and unemployment – Download PDF
by Popova, Olga & See, Sarah Grace & Nikolova, Milena & Otrachshenko, Vladimir

GLO Fellows Olga Popova & Milena Nikolova

Olga Popova

Milena Nikolova

Author Abstract: What are the broad societal implications of inflation and unemployment? Analyzing a dataset of over 1.9 million individuals from 156 countries via the Gallup World Poll spanning 2005 to 2021, alongside macroeconomic data at the national level, we find that both inflation and unemployment have a negative link with confidence in financial institutions. While inflation is generally unassociated with confidence in government and leadership approval, unemployment still has a strong negative association with these outcomes. While we find no gender differences in the consequences of inflation and unemployment for confidence in political and financial institutions, the associations we document are more substantial for the cohorts that are likely to bear a disproportionate burden from inflation and unemployment-the middle-aged, lower-educated, and unmarried individuals, and for those living in rural areas. Uncertainty about the country’s economic performance and one’s own economic situation are the primary channels behind the associations we identify. These findings hold significant implications for policymakers, Central Banks, and public discourse, necessitating targeted strategies to alleviate the social consequences of inflation and unemployment.

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New members of the Editorial Board of the Journal of Population Economics: Ashwini Deshpande, Anthony Lepinteur and Nina Smith

GLO Admin — Tue, 07 Nov 2023 06:00:00 +0000

The Journal of Population Economics and its publisher Springer warmly welcomes three new members of the journal editorial team:

Ashwini Deshpande (Ashoka University, India)
Anthony Lepinteur (University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg)
Nina Smith (Aarhus University, Denmark)

The new members will support the editorial efforts in many areas of research like gender, discrimination, affirmative action, family, child development, migration, education, labor, income inequality and health.

Ashwini Deshpande

Anthony Lepinteur

Nina Smith

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Sixth IESR-GLO Joint Workshop at Jinan University, October 26-27, 2023: REPORT.

GLO Admin — Wed, 01 Nov 2023 06:00:00 +0000

The 6th IESR-GLO joint workshop on “Gender Issues and Domestic Violence” took place in Guangzhou, Jinan University, China, on October 26-27, 2023. The event was jointly organized by the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR) of Jinan University and the Global Labor Organization (GLO) with the support of the Journal of Population Economics (JOPE).

The two-days workshop discussed family, gender and child issues including gender equality and sexual & domestic violence. These issues are and remain of particular interest for future publications of JOPE. The event also reviewed and celebrated the recent success JOPE has achieved with impact factor IF = 6.1 and CiteScore 9.2.

On the invitation of IESR Director Shuaizhang Feng, GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann had already given a public lecture at Jinan University on “Economic Preferences Across Generations” on October 25.

Day 1 October 26
12:00-2:00 PM Lunch

2:00-2:45 PM

Welcome Shuaizhang Feng, Jinan University and GLO
Journal of Population Economics (JOPE) & IESR-GLO Collaboration
Klaus F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT and GLO, JOPE Editor-in-Chief

Impact Factor 2022 IF = 6.1
CiteScore 2022 = 9.2

Among the top 12 best cited articles for the 2022 Impact Factor are two papers with IESR authors:

Rank 1: Qiu, Y., Chen, X. & Shi, W. Impacts of social and economic factors on the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China. JOPE 33, 1127–1172 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-020-00778-2 OPEN ACCESS.
Rank 11: Meng, X., Xue, S. Social networks and mental health outcomes: Chinese rural–urban migrant experience. JOPE 33, 155–195 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-019-00748-3 Free to read: https://rdcu.be/dpLbO

From the left: Wei Shi, Yun Qiu, JOPE Editor-in-Chief Klaus F. Zimmermann, JOPE Editor Shuaizhang Feng & Sen Xue. The handling editor of both articles was the Editor-in-Chief.

Session I – Chair: Klaus F. Zimmermann

2:45-3:30 PM

Intimate Partner Violence and Child Health

Tushar Bharati (University of Western Australia), Michael Dockery (Curtin University),
Astghik Mavisakalyan (Curtin University and GLO) and Loan Vu (Curtin University)

3:30-4:00 PM Break

4:00-4:45 PM

No Pain, More Gain: Anti-domestic Violence Law and Female Wages in Rural China

Liu Xinyan, CUHK and GLO
The author is a 2023-24 VirtYS scholar, Astghik Mavisakalyan her mentor in this program.

4:45-5:30 PM

Women, Violence and Work: Threat of Sexual Violence and Women’s Decision to Work

Tanika Chakraborty, Indian Institute of Management and GLO; Nafisa Lohawala,
University of Michigan

Astghik Mavisakalyan

Liu Xinyan

Tanika Chakraborty

5:30 PM: JOPE internal meeting

Discussion of Editor-in-Chief Klaus F. Zimmermann & Editor Shuaizhang Feng with JOPE Associate Editors Astghik Mavisakalyan & Dave Ribar (online) as well as Tanika Chakraborty & Xiao Zhang about the focus Sexual and Domestic Violence.

Shuaizhang Feng, Tanika Chakraborty, Astghik Mavisakalyan & Klaus F. Zimmermann

Dave Ribar

Xiao Zhang

Day 2 October 27

Sen Xue (left) & Shuaizhang Feng

Session II – Chair: Sen Xue

9:00-:9:45 AM

The Impact of Ozone Pollution on Mortality: Evidence from China

Yunning Liu, Chinese Center for Disease Prevention and Control; Yun Qiu, Jinan University and GLO; Wei Shi, Jinan University and GLO; Maigeng Zhou, Chinese Center for Disease Prevention and Control

9:45-10:30 AM

Parental Migration, Parenting and Children’s Skill Development

Shuaizhang Feng, Jinan University and GLO; James J. Heckman, University of Chicago and GLO; Jun Hyung Kim, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology and GLO; Yuejie Han, Jinan University; Sen Xue, Jinan University and GLO

10:30-11:00 AM Break

Yun Qiu

Jun Hyung Kim

Session III – Chair: Shuaizhang Feng

11:00-11:45 AM

Shaping Gender Role Attitudes: Intergenerational Impacts of Parental Occupational Differences during Adolescence

Shu Cai, Jinan University and GLO; Wei Luo, Jinan University and GLO; Zheng Zhong, Jinan University

11:45-12:30 AM

Parental Gender Stereotypes and Student Wellbeing in China

Shuai Chu, Renmin University and GLO, Xiangquan Zeng, Renmin University and GLO & Klaus
F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT and GLO

Summary
Shuaizhang Feng, Jinan University & GLO

Lunch

Wei Luo

Klaus F. Zimmermann

Ends;

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Sixth Renmin University of China & GLO Conference 2023. Program & Report.

GLO Admin — Wed, 01 Nov 2023 03:00:00 +0000

The 6th Renmin University of China, Beijing & GLO Conference 2023 on Chinese labor market issues took place in person October 7-8 at Renmin University of China organized by the School of Labor and Human Resources together with GLO. The event was supported by the Journal of Population Economics.

Organizers: Liqiu Zhao (Renmin University of China and GLO); Corrado Giulietti (University of Southampton and GLO, Associate Editor Journal of Population Economics); Zhong Zhao (Renmin University of China and GLO, Associate Editor Journal of Population Economics), and GLO President & Editor-in-Chief Journal of Population Economics Klaus F. Zimmermann (Renmin University of China & Free University of Berlin).

The full academic program is provided below; conference photo at the end.
See also: Conference program.

The conference was opened by Zhong Zhao, who is also the Dean of the School of Labor and Human Resources at Renmin University, and Klaus F. Zimmermann for GLO.

The first keynote speaker was Junsen Zhang (Zhejiang University and GLO), who spoke about “Aging in a Dual Economy: Urban Aging, Massive Migration, and Agricultural Development”.

In his keynote (“Publishing in Research Journals at the Time of AI”), Zimmermann mentioned that the Journal of Population Economics (JOPE) has published important Chinese studies and will continue to do so. Among the top 12 best cited articles for the 2022 Impact Factor (with a top value for JOPE of IF = 6.1) are four articles from Chinese authors with contributors of three articles present at the conference.

From the left: Sen Xue, Junsen Zhang, Klaus F. Zimmermann, Zhong Zhao, Liqiu Zhao

Among the top 12 best cited articles for the 2022 JOPE Impact Factor are four papers with authors based in China:

Rank 1: Qiu, Y., Chen, X. & Shi, W. Impacts of social and economic factors on the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China. JOPE 33, 1127–1172 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-020-00778-2 OPEN ACCESS.
Handling Editor: Klaus F. Zimmermann
Rank 8: Du, H., Xiao, Y. & Zhao, Liqiu Education and gender role attitudes. JOPE 34, 475–513 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-020-00793-3 Free to read: https://rdcu.be/dpTur
Handling Editor: Shuaizhang Feng
Rank 11: Meng, X., Xue, Sen Social networks and mental health outcomes: Chinese rural–urban migrant experience. JOPE 33, 155–195 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-019-00748-3 Free to read: https://rdcu.be/dpLbO
Handling Editor: Klaus F. Zimmermann
Rank 12: Tang, C., Zhao, Liqiu & Zhao, Zhong Does free education help combat child labor? The effect of a free compulsory education reform in rural China. JOPE 33, 601–631 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-019-00741-w Free to read: https://rdcu.be/dpU9i
Handling Editor: Junsen Zhang

Day 1: Saturday. October 7, 2023

Day 2: Sunday. October 8, 2023

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Report on Scientific Collaborations with Renmin University of China

GLO Admin — Wed, 01 Nov 2023 00:00:00 +0000

Reflections and debate on the 40th Anniversary of the School of Labor and Human Resources of Renmin University of China. A large day-long event took place on October 4, 2023 at Renmin University, Beijing, China. Since its creation, GLO had annual research conferences with the School, the 6th RUC-GLO conference took place on October 7-8, 2023. However, GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann had organized international collaborations and exchange with the School already over a period of three decades before in his previous roles as Founding Director of IZA Bonn (for two decades) and his tenure as Professor and Director of SELPO at the University of Munich (in the decade before).

Consequently, the GLO President was one of the main (and the only foreign) speakers among a long list of distinguished authorities during the morning (19 speeches) congratulating the School for its rise to excellence, success and international recognition. Zimmermann said: “I extend my heartfelt congratulations on your decades of escalating success! The success reflects your commitment to advancing science, particularly in the field of economics through research and policy advice. Your contributions through international visibility and collaborations are commendable. Since its establishment in 1983, the School has grown into a leading institution in labor research and education in China with global recognition. One of its notable achievements includes the creation of China’s first research program for a PhD degree in labor economics in 1994, among many others. The School has made significant strides in areas such as employment, income distribution, labor relations, human resource development and management, social security, and more.”

The presentations in the afternoon discussed the evolution of the discipline and the contributions the School was engaged with. In this context, Klaus F. Zimmermann gave a speech on “Family Economics: From Constraints to Preferences and Stereotypes” reviewing also the collaborative work he has done and is still doing with Chinese researchers. He further detailed the long-term contacts he has been involved with and thanked in particular former Dean Xiangquan Zeng and current Dean Zhong Zhao for the many years of successful collaborations.

In a special speech, Dean Zhong Zhao honored Xiangquan Zeng and Klaus F. Zimmermann in the name of the School for their long-term strong efforts to foster scientific collaborations with a certificate (see below).

On Friday October 6, 2023 Xiangquan Zeng gave an opening speech at the 2023 Annual Meeting of the Chinese Labor Society which also took place at Renmin University of China. Klaus F. Zimmermann was invited to deliver a keynote lecture on “Migrant Local Identity and Labor Market Success”.

October 4, 2023; Morning Session.

40th Anniversary of the School of Labor and Human Resources of Renmin University of China: Building a Discipline of Labor Economics and Management with Chinese Characteristics

First row GLO Fellows Yang Du & Desheng Lai; second row, right Zhong Zhao, Dean of the School (and GLO Fellow) on his way to provide his speech at the end of the morning celebrations.

October 4, 2023; Afternoon Session.

40th Anniversary of the School of Labor and Human Resources of Renmin University of China: Global Forum of Labor Economics and Management Disciplines

GLO Fellow Xiangquan Zeng and Klaus F. Zimmermann receiving the certificates of the School of Labor and Human Resources of Renmin University.

Dean Zhong Zhao and Klaus F. Zimmermann with respect for the achievements.

October 6, 2023

2023 Annual Meeting of the Chinese Labor Society

Renmin University of China Professor Xiangquan Zeng during his opening speech at the 2023 Annual Meeting of the Chinese Labor Society.

GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann delivered a keynote lecture on “Migrant Local Identity and Labor Market Success”.

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Contested Transparency: Digital Monitoring Technologies and Worker Voice. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Gabriel Burdin, Fabio Landini & Ignacio Belloc.

GLO Admin — Mon, 30 Oct 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper using a cross-sectional sample of more than 21,000 European establishments finds that establishments with employee representation are more likely to utilize digital monitoring technologies than establishments without.

Ignacio Belloc

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1340, 2023

Contested Transparency: Digital Monitoring Technologies and Worker Voice – Download PDF
by Burdin, Gabriel & Dughera, Stefano & Landini, Fabio & Belloc, Filippo

GLO Fellows Gabriel Burdin, Fabio Landini & Ignacio Belloc

Author Abstract: Advances in artificial intelligence and data analytics have notably expanded employers’ monitoring and surveillance capabilities, facilitating the accurate observability of work effort. There is an ongoing debate among academics and policymakers about the productivity and broader welfare implications of digital monitoring (DM) technologies. In this context, many countries confer information, consultation and codetermination rights to (ER) bodies on matters related to workplace organization and the introduction of new technologies, which could potentially discourage employers from making DM investments. Using a cross-sectional sample of more than 21000 European establishments, we find instead that establishments with ER are more likely to utilize DM technologies than establishments without ER. We also document a positive effect of ER on DM utilization in the context of a local-randomization regression discontinuity analysis that exploits size-contingent policy rules governing the operation of ER bodies in Europe. We rationalize this unexpected finding through the lens of a theoretical framework in which shared governance via ER create organizational safeguards that mitigate workers’ negative responses to monitoring and undermines the disciplining effect of DM technologies.

Featured image: artificial-intelligence-Pixabay-e1612455547910

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Where have all Tech Layoffs gone? A Model of Two Worker Types with Outsourcing. A new GLO Discussion Paper by Sugata Marjit and GLO Fellow Gouranga Das.

GLO Admin — Sat, 28 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper develops a model to show how contraction in demand for IT-enabled works will determine how much of works to be completed in the US (home) and the remainder to be sourced out to say, India (abroad).

Gouranga G. Das

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1338, 2023

Where have all Tech Layoffs gone? A Model of Two Worker Types with Outsourcing – Download PDF
by Marjit, Sugata & Das, Gouranga G.

GLO Fellow Gouranga Das

Author Abstract: The flourishing of IT-sector and IT-enabled services has led to emergence of different activities by leaps and bounds thanks to proliferation of Virtual plattorm-based transactions, and E-commerce. However, massive layoffs started in 2022, as all tech giants encountered revenue declines amidst supply chain issues, inflation, Ukraine war, leading to deflation and fears of recession squeezing consumer and business spending. This has happened across the globe. In the context of the countries supplying low- wage labor (skilled wage in Indian Silicon Valley at Bengaluru is lower than that in the Californian Silicon Valley), similar episodes unfolded but to a different extent. The evidence suggests that layoffs in developing economies like India is much less than that in the US with limited impact on Indian industry despite severe global downturn. Jobs and hiring will move out of the developed markets to these emerging markets with cost advantages owing to lower salaries, as with low demand, drive to cutdown costs will induce firms to outsource some operations outside while focusing on core functions provided the cost of outsourcing is not too high. In this paper, we build a model to show how contraction in demand for IT-enabled works will determine how much of works to be completed in the US (home) and the remainder to be sourced out to say, India (abroad). We identify the conditions under which switching from pure domestic production to outsourcing using hired foreign workers will happen. We show that in both cases of perfectly competitive homogeneous product as well as in case of differentiated goods oligopoly scenarios that the hiring ceases drastically in the home while the outsourced workers will not suffer to a large extent. Home bears the burden of adjustment due to the sheer cost disadvantages of the home.

Featured image: Alex-Knight-on-Unsplash

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The Impact of the Energy Conservation Law on Enterprise Energy Efficiency: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Chinese Firms. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Zhiming Cheng and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Fri, 27 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that the energy regulation has a positive impact on enterprise energy efficiency.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1339, 2023

The Impact of the Energy Conservation Law on Enterprise Energy Efficiency: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Chinese Firms – Download PDF
by Yu, Hongwei & Chen, Wenjin & Wang, Xinyi & Delina, Laurence & Cheng, Zhiming & Zhang, Le

GLO Fellow Zhiming Cheng

Author Abstract: We employ a regression discontinuity design (RDD) to investigate the causal effect of China’s Energy Conservation Law (ECL) on the energy efficiency of Chinese firms. Using data from the 2018 China Employer-Employee Survey (CEES), we find that the energy regulation has a positive impact on enterprise energy efficiency. Furthermore, we observe that the effects of the regulation vary across industries, ownership types, and firm ages. We also find that energy management system (EnMS) and technological innovation are mechanisms through which the energy regulation helps improve enterprise energy efficiency. These findings underscore the importance of well-designed and effectively implemented energy regulations in fostering energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions in the industrial sector. They also highlight the need to consider the heterogeneity of the regulatory impact when designing energy-saving policies.

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Sixth IESR-GLO Joint Workshop at Jinan University, October 26-27, 2023.

GLO Admin — Thu, 26 Oct 2023 04:00:00 +0000

The 6th IESR-GLO joint workshop on “Gender Issues and Domestic Violence” takes place in Guangzhou, Jinan University, China, on October 26-27, 2023. The event is jointly organized by the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR) of Jinan University and the Global Labor Organization (GLO) with the support of the Journal of Population Economics (JOPE).

Day 1 October 26
12:00-2:00 PM Lunch

2:00-2:45 PM

Welcome Shuaizhang Feng, Jinan University and GLO
Journal of Population Economics (JOPE) & IESR-GLO Collaboration
Klaus F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT and GLO, JOPE Editor-in-Chief

Recommended reading: Prettyman, A., Ribar, D.C. (2022). Child Abuse and Neglect. In: Zimmermann, K.F. (eds) Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57365-6_234-1

Session I – Chair: Klaus F. Zimmermann

2:45-3:30 PM

Intimate Partner Violence and Child Health

Tushar Bharati (University of Western Australia), Michael Dockery (Curtin University),
Astghik Mavisakalyan (Curtin University and GLO) and Loan Vu (Curtin University)

3:30-4:00 PM Break

4:00-4:45 PM

No Pain, More Gain: Anti-domestic Violence Law and Female Wages in Rural China

Liu Xinyan, CUHK and GLO

4:45-5:30 PM

Women, Violence and Work: Threat of Sexual Violence and Women’s Decision to Work

Tanika Chakraborty, Indian Institute of Management and GLO; Nafisa Lohawala,
University of Michigan

5:30 PM: JOPE internal meeting

Day 2 October 27

Session II – Chair: Sen Xue

9:00-:9:45 AM

The Impact of Ozone Pollution on Mortality: Evidence from China

9:45-10:30 AM

Parental Migration, Parenting and Children’s Skill Development

10:30-11:00 AM Break

Session III – Chair: Shuaizhang Feng

11:00-11:45 AM

Shaping Gender Role Attitudes: Intergenerational Impacts of Parental Occupational Differences during Adolescence

Shu Cai, Jinan University and GLO; Wei Luo, Jinan University and GLO; Zheng Zhong, Jinan University

11:45-12:30 AM

Parental Gender Stereotypes and Student Wellbeing in China

Shuai Chu, Renmin University and GLO, Xiangquan Zeng, Renmin University and GLO & Klaus
F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT and GLO

Summary
Shuaizhang Feng, Jinan University & GLO

Lunch

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Human Capital Workshop Call for Papers by Bank of Italy.

GLO Admin — Tue, 24 Oct 2023 08:00:00 +0000

The Bank of Italy is pleased to announce a one-day workshop on “Human Capital” to be held on March 22, 2024.

The workshop brings together leading researchers in the field of education and human capital to present their theoretical and empirical research.

The deadline to submit a paper is January 8, 2024.

The keynote lecture will be given by Lance Lochner (University of Western Ontario).

The scientific committee is composed by: Giulia Bovini, Antonio Dalla Zuanna, Domenico Depalo, Annalisa Loviglio (University of Bologna), Monica Langella (University of Naples Federico II).

We kindly ask you to circulate the call and submit your research.

More information:
https://www.bancaditalia.it/media/notizia/4th-bank-of-italy-human-capital-workshop/?com.dotmarketing.htmlpage.language

The post was suggested by GLO Fellow Domenico Depalo.

Featured image: david-kohler-unsplash

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Forced Labor and Health-Related Outcomes. The Case of Beggar Children. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Nick Drydakis.

GLO Admin — Mon, 23 Oct 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper reveals the determinants of child begging.

Nick Drydakis

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1337, 2023

Forced Labor and Health-Related Outcomes. The Case of Beggar Children – Download PDF
by Drydakis, Nick

GLO Fellow Nick Drydakis

Author Abstract: The study aims to examine whether beggar children are victims of forced labor, as well as to identify the manifestations of forced labor in beggar children, and assess whether forced child begging relates to deteriorated health-related quality of life and mental health. The study focused on the capital city of Greece, Athens, where beggar children are not a hard-to-reach group. Cross-sectional data were collected in 2011, 2014, 2018 and 2022, with 127 beggar children taking part in the study. The study adopted the Anti-Slavery International research toolkit, which sets methodological guidelines on researching child begging. A scale was developed to quantify forced child begging based on the International Labour Organization’s definition of forced labor. The study found that most beggar children were forced by others to beg, experienced threats of violence, physical and verbal harassment aimed at forcing them to beg, and difficulty in terms of being allowed by others to stop begging. It was found that forced child begging was positively associated with living with unknown people, hunger due to food unavailability the previous week, and negatively associated with native beggar children. It was discovered that forced child begging was negatively associated with health-related quality of life and mental health for beggar children. Child begging encompasses elements of coercion and the deprivation of human freedom. These factors collectively amount to instances of forced labor and/or modern slavery. Policies should ensure that beggar children are removed from harm’s way, and that those forcing children to beg are brought to justice.

Featured image: Beth-Macdonald-unsplash

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Power to choose? Examining the link between contraceptive use and domestic violence. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Manini Ojha and Karan Babbar.

GLO Admin — Sun, 22 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds for India that if the decision to use contraceptives is solely taken by the woman, she is at a significantly higher risk of physical, sexual and emotional domestic violence.

Manini Ojha

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1336, 2023

Power to choose? Examining the link between contraceptive use and domestic violence – Download PDF
by Ojha, Manini & Babbar, Karan

GLO Fellow Manini Ojha

Author Abstract: Contraception is a crucial tool that empowers women to control their bodily autonomy. Concurrently, violence against women remains a pressing public-health issue depleting women’s autonomy. We establish a causal link between the decision to use contraception and the occurrence of intimate partner violence. Utilizing newly available nationally representative data for India, we use an instrumental variable approach to estimate our causal effects. Using exogenous variation in the cluster average of women’s exposure to family planning messages via radio, we find that if the decision to use contraceptives is solely taken by the woman, she is at a significantly higher risk of physical, sexual and emotional domestic violence. We estimate bounds of our effects by assuming the IV to be plausibly exogenous where we relax the exogeneity condition. Our findings underscore the importance of reproductive health in initiatives that reduce domestic violence and targeted policies towards men’s understanding of family planning.

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Life Expectancy, Income and Long-Term Care: The Preston Curve Reexamined. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Gregory Ponthiere & Emmanuel Thibault.

GLO Admin — Sat, 21 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

The new GLO Discussion Paper provides an explanation for the absence of the Preston Curve in countries where old-age dependency is more acute.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1335, 2023

Life Expectancy, Income and Long-Term Care: The Preston Curve Reexamined – Download PDF
by Ponthiere, Gregory & Thibault, Emmanuel

GLO Fellows Gregory Ponthiere & Emmanuel Thibault

Grégory Ponthière

Emmanuel Thibault

Author Abstract: The Preston Curve – the increasing relation between income per capita and life expectancy – cannot be observed in countries where old-age dependency is widespread (that is, where long-term care (LTC) spending per capita is high). The absence of the Preston Curve in countries with high old-age dependency can be related to two other stylized facts: (1) the inverted-U relation between LTC spending and life expectancy; (2) the inverted-U relation between LTC spending and preventive health investments. This paper develops a two-period OLG model where survival to the old age depends on preventive health spending chosen by individuals while anticipating (fixed) old-age LTC costs. In that model, anticipated LTC costs are shown to have a non-monotonic effect on preventive health investment, thus rationalizing stylized facts (1) and (2). This framework is shown to provide an explanation for the absence of the Preston Curve in countries where old-age dependency is more acute.

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Call for contributions: 46th EBES Conference – Rome/Italy January 10-12, 2024. Abstract deadline: November 30, 2023.

GLO Admin — Fri, 20 Oct 2023 15:00:00 +0000

The 46th EBES Conference – Rome will take place on January 10th,11th, and 12th, 2024 in Rome, Italy. The conference will be hosted by the Faculty of Economics, Sapienza University of Rome with the support of the Istanbul Economic Research Association and organized in Hybrid Mode (online and in-person).

Interested researchers from around the world are cordially invited to submit their abstracts or papers for presentation considerations.

Deadline for Abstract/Paper Submission is November 30, 2023.

EBES Executive Board

Prof. Klaus F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT, Maastricht, and Free University Berlin
Prof. Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin, Istanbul Medeniyet University, EBES, Turkey
Prof. Jonathan Batten, University Utara Malaysia, Malaysia
Prof. Iftekhar Hasan, Fordham University, U.S.A.
Prof. Euston Quah, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
Prof. John Rust, Georgetown University, U.S.A.
Prof. Dorothea Schäfer, German Institute for Economic Research DIW Berlin, Germany
Prof. Marco Vivarelli, Università Cattolica Del Sacro Cuore, Italy

Abstract/Paper Submission

Authors are invited to submit their abstracts or papers no later than November 30, 2023.

For submission, please visit our website at https://ebesweb.org/46th-ebes-conference-rome/46th-abstract-submission/ no submission fee is required.

General inquiries regarding the call for papers should be directed to ebes@ebesweb.org

Publication Opportunities

Qualified papers can be published in EBES journals (Eurasian Business Review and Eurasian Economic Review) or EBES proceedings books after a peer review process without any submission or publication fees. EBES journals (EABR and EAER) are published by Springer and both are indexed in the SCOPUS, EBSCO EconLit with Full Text, Google Scholar, ABS Academic Journal Quality Guide, CNKI, EBSCO Business Source, EBSCO Discovery Service, ProQuest International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS), OCLC WorldCat Discovery Service, ProQuest ABI/INFORM, ProQuest Business Premium Collection, ProQuest Central, ProQuest Turkey Database, ProQuest-ExLibris Primo, ProQuest-ExLibris Summon, Research Papers in Economics (RePEc), Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China, Naver, SCImago, ABDC Journal Quality List, Cabell’s Directory, and Ulrich’s Periodicals Directory. In addition, while EAER is indexed in the Emerging Sources Citation Index (Clarivate Analytics), EABR is indexed in the Social Science Citation Index (SSCI) and Current Contents / Social & Behavioral Sciences.

Also, all accepted abstracts will be published electronically in the Conference Program and the Abstract Book (with an ISBN number). It will be distributed to all conference participants at the conference via USB. Although submitting full papers are not required, all the submitted full papers will also be included in the conference proceedings in a USB.

After the conference, participants will also have the opportunity to send their paper to be published (after a refereeing process managed by EBES) in the Springer’s series Eurasian Studies in Business and Economics (no submission and publication fees). This is indexed by Scopus. It will also be sent to Clarivate Analytics in order to be reviewed for coverage in the Conference Proceedings Citation Index – Social Science & Humanities (CPCI-SSH). Please note that the 10th, 11th, 12th, 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th, 17th, 18th, 19th, 20th, 21st, 22nd, 23rd, 24th, and 25th, 26th, 27th, 28th, 29 (Vol. 1), and 30th EBES Conference Proceedings are accepted for inclusion in the Conference Proceedings Citation Index – Social Science & Humanities (CPCI-SSH). Other conference proceedings are in progress.

Important Dates

Conference Date: January 10-12, 2024
Abstract Submission Deadline: November 30, 2023
Reply-by: December 10, 2023*
Registration Deadline: December 19, 2023
Submission of the Virtual Presentation: December 20, 2023
Announcement of the Program: December 25, 2023
Paper Submission Deadline (Optional): December 20, 2023**
Paper Submission for the EBES journals: March 16, 2024

* The decision regarding the acceptance/rejection of each abstract/paper will be communicated with the corresponding author within a week of submission.

** Completed paper submission is optional. If you want to be considered for the Best Paper Award or your full paper to be included in the conference proceedings in the USB, after submitting your abstract before November 30, 2023, you must also submit your completed (full) paper by December 20, 2023.

Contact

Ugur Can, Director of EBES (ebes@ebesweb.org)
Dr. Ender Demir, Conference Coordinator of EBES (demir@ebesweb.org)

Conference LINK

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Finding Love Abroad: Who Marries a Migrant and What Do They Gain? A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Eva Dziadula & Madeline Zavodny.

GLO Admin — Fri, 20 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper suggests that U.S. immigration policy plays an important role in whether immigrants bring in a spouse.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1334, 2023

Finding Love Abroad: Who Marries a Migrant and What Do They Gain? – Download PDF
by Dziadula, Eva & Zavodny, Madeline

GLO Fellows Eva Dziadula & Madeline Zavodny

Eva Dziadula

Madeline Zavodny

Author Abstract: This study explores the role of individual and local marriage market characteristics in whether recently wed U.S. residents “imported” a spouse instead of marrying someone already present in the country. Our findings indicate that U.S. natives and immigrants whose spouse is a “marriage migrant” (someone who arrived in the U.S. the same year as the marriage occurred) are positively selected along some dimensions but negatively along others. The results also suggest that U.S. immigration policy plays an important role in whether immigrants bring in a spouse. We further investigate the trade-offs in spouse characteristics associated with having a marriage-migrant spouse. There appear to be several advantages to marrying a migrant, including that marriage-migrant spouses tend to be relatively younger and less likely to have been previously married. Immigrants’ gains to marrying a migrant are bigger among naturalized citizens, showcasing the desirability of someone who can easily sponsor a spouse for permanent residence.

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Artificial Intelligence and Employment: A Look into the Crystal Ball. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Dario Guarascio, GLO Affiliate Jelena Reljic and Roman Stöllinger.

GLO Admin — Thu, 19 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows that AI exposure has a positive impact on regional employment in Europe.

Jelena Reljic

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1333, 2023

Artificial Intelligence and Employment: A Look into the Crystal Ball – Download PDF
by Guarascio, Dario & Reljic, Jelena & Stöllinger, Roman

GLO Fellow Dario Guarascio & GLO Affiliate Jelena Reljic

Author Abstract: This study provides evidence of the employment impact of AI exposure in European regions, addressing one of the many gaps in the emerging literature on AI’s effects on employment in Europe. Building upon the occupation-based AI-exposure indicators proposed by Felten et al. (2018, 2019, 2021), which are mapped to the European occupational classification (ISCO), following Albanesi et al. (2023), we analyse the regional employment dynamics between 2011 and 2018. After controlling for a wide range of supply and demand factors, our findings indicate that, on average, AI exposure has a positive impact on regional employment. Put differently, European regions characterised by a relatively larger share of AI-exposed occupations display, all else being equal and once potential endogeneity concerns are mitigated, a more favourable employment tendency over the period 2011-2018. We also find evidence of a moderating effect of robot density on the AI-employment nexus, which however lacks a causal underpinning.

Featured image: Alex-Knight-on-Unsplash

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Ten Years of China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

GLO Admin — Wed, 18 Oct 2023 15:00:00 +0000

China’s Belt and Road Initiative “has now been active for ten years and has led to China engaging in $1.01 trillion worth of investment and construction in 148 countries around the world.” (statista) The initiative has been under debate ever since the beginning.

Lauren A. Johnston (2023). China’s Belt and Road Initiative: Human Capital Implications. In: Zimmermann, K.F. (eds) Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57365-6_412-1

In 2013 China launched a flagship global development and geoeconomics initiative, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). From the lens of the contents of the two launch speeches the BRI can be understood as having five policy-related objectives which should be achieved via and alongside five delivery-related principles. These include direct human resources–related objectives, including fostering people-to-people ties, and goals that have vast implicit human resources–related implications, including those calling for fostering greater trade and investment. This chapter outlines those launch speeches, and China’s economic circumstances at the time of their delivery. This sets the context for onward elaboration of the BRI’s human resources–related policy announcements and goals, and the mechanisms for their delivery, including educational scholarships and in-country technical and vocational training, alongside language training, mainly via Confucius Institutes. Since none of China’s BRI activities happen in a controlled vacuum, and the BRI’s implementation context typically varies across time, country, and sector, it is difficult to draw specific human resource–related conclusions as to the BRI’s related implications. Case studies around the use of Chinese labor, and Chinese management, are, however, explored, and emphasis is placed on capacity to co-shape the human resources–related evolution of the BRI going forward.
Michele Bruni (2022). China, the Belt and Road Initiative, and the Century of Great Migration. Cambridge Scholars Publishing.
GLO Interview with the author.
2019 IESR-GLO Workshop on ‘Belt and Road’ – Labor Markets.

Source: statista

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Unintended Consequences of Youth Entrepreneurship Programs: Experimental Evidence from Rwanda. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Moussa P. Blimpo & Todd Pugatch.

GLO Admin — Wed, 18 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that youth entrepreneurship programs may steer some participants away from their comparative advantage.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1332, 2023

Unintended Consequences of Youth Entrepreneurship Programs: Experimental Evidence from Rwanda – Download PDF
by Blimpo, Moussa P. & Pugatch, Todd

GLO Fellows Moussa P. Blimpo & Todd Pugatch

Moussa P. Blimpo

Todd Pugatch

Author Abstract: The persistently high employment share of the informal sector makes entrepreneurship a necessity for youth in many developing countries. We exploit exogenous variation in the implementation of Rwanda’s entrepreneurship education reform in secondary schools to evaluate its effect on student economic outcomes up to three years after graduation. Using a randomized controlled trial, we evaluated a three-year intensive training for entrepreneurship teachers, finding pedagogical changes as intended and increased entrepreneurial activity among students. In this paper, we tracked students following graduation and found that increased entrepreneurship persisted one year later, in 2019. Students from treated schools were six percentage points more likely to be entrepreneurs, an increase of 19 percent over the control mean. However, gains in entrepreneurship faded after three years, in 2021. Employment was six percentage points lower in the treatment group. By some measures, income and profits were lower in the treatment group, with no robust differences in these outcomes overall. Lower incomes and profits were concentrated among marginal students induced into entrepreneurship by the program. Youth entrepreneurship programs may therefore steer some participants away from their comparative advantage. Nonetheless, the program increased university enrollment, suggesting the potential for higher long run returns.

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Human Capital Misallocation and Output per Worker Differences: Beyond Cobb-Douglas. A new GLO Discussion Paper by Jan Trenczek and GLO Fellow Konstantin M. Wacker.

GLO Admin — Tue, 17 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper suggests that physical and human capital are less substitutable than Cobb-Douglas assumes.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1331, 2023

Human Capital Misallocation and Output per Worker Differences: Beyond Cobb-Douglas – Download PDF
by Trenczek, Jan & Wacker, Konstantin M.

GLO Fellow Konstantin M. Wacker

Author Abstract: Misallocation of human capital across sectors can have substantial negative implications for aggregate output. So far, the literature examining this type of labor misallocation has assumed a Cobb-Douglas production function. Our paper departs from this assumption and instead considers more exible CES production functions with different labor skill types as individual inputs. Our estimates from sectoral data of 39 countries suggest that physical and human capital are less substitutable than Cobb-Douglas assumes. Our counterfactual results indicate that human capital misallocation can explain approximately 15% of output per worker variation across countries, which is substantially less than under a Cobb-Douglas specification (21%).

Featured image: nikko-macaspac-unsplash

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Technological Sovereignty and Strategic Dependencies: The case of the Photovoltaic Supply Chain. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Dario Guarascio and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Mon, 16 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows that reinforcing technological specialization may help mitigating strategic dependencies.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1330, 2023

Technological Sovereignty and Strategic Dependencies: The case of the Photovoltaic Supply Chain – Download PDF
by Caravella, Serenella & Crespi, Francesco & Cucignatto, Giacomo & Guarascio, Dario

GLO Fellow Dario Guarascio

Author Abstract: This work sheds new light on the Photovoltaic Supply Chain (PVSC), providing fresh evidence on strategic dependencies (SDs) and (asymmetrically distributed) technological capabilities. Bridging the perspectives of ‘technological sovereignty’ and ‘strategic autonomy’, a number of contributions are provided. First, we carry out a fine-grained mapping of the PVSC, combining trade and patent data. Second, we assess the long-term evolution of trade and technological hierarchies, documenting processes of polarization and growing SDs. Third, we zoom-in on critical PV areas (i.e. products and related technologies), providing a ‘strategic intelligence’ activity which may prove useful for tailoring trade, industrial and innovation policies. Fourth, we explore the relationship between technological specialization and productive capabilities showing that, in the upstream segment, reinforcing the former may help mitigating SDs.

Featured image: Pixabay-on-unsplash

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Protests, Long-term Preferences, and Populism. Evidence from 1968 in Europe. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Andrea Fazio.

GLO Admin — Sun, 15 Oct 2023 08:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows that higher exposure to protests in 1968 leads to higher dissatisfaction toward national governments and raises the probability of voting for populist parties.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1329, 2023

Protests, Long-term Preferences, and Populism. Evidence from 1968 in Europe – Download PDF
by Fazio, Andrea

GLO Fellow Andrea Fazio

Author Abstract: In 1968, young people grew up in an atmosphere of strong dissatisfaction and distrust against the status quo. We show that higher exposure to protests in 1968 leads to higher dissatisfaction toward national governments and raises the probability of voting for populist parties. Consistently with the impressionable years hypothesis, we find these effects valid only for those aged between 18 and 25 during 1968. Our results are robust to a series of placebo tests and to alternative definitions of our treatment and control groups. We find that our results are driven by individuals with a middle or low level of education. We also find suggestive evidence that the mechanisms driving our results can depend on individuals’ level of education: within our treated cohort people with an elementary level of education appear more attracted by the populist rhetoric, while people with a middle level of education are more likely to care about traditional values.

Featured image: arnaud-jaegers-unsplash

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EBES – GLO Conference Collaborations: Budapest, Rome, Berlin

GLO Admin — Sat, 14 Oct 2023 09:00:00 +0000

The 45th EBES Conference took place on October 11-13, 2023 in Budapest, Hungary. The conference was hosted by Mathias Corvinus Collegium and organized in Hybrid Mode (online and in-person). GLO & EBES President Klaus F. Zimmermann gave a welcome speech together with Ender Demir (EBES) and Zoltan Csefalvay (Mathias Corvinus Collegium). Zimmermann also chaired the Editors’ Panel Session presenting the two EBES journals Eurasian Economic Review and the Eurasian Business Review next to his own Journal of Population Economics.

EBES 45 Budapest Conference Program

The next conferences were discussed and announced (mark your calendars):

January 10-12, 2024: Rome, Italy. 46th EBES HYBRID conference. Submission deadline November 30, 2023. Call for contributions.
April 18-20, 2024: Berlin, Germany. 47th EBES HYBRID conference. (The first two days will be in person only.) Jointly Organized with GLO and FOM University of Applied Sciences, Berlin. GLO will organize a separate program part with separate registration and paper call. Participants will have access to all program parts of both conferences.

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Temperature exposure and sleep duration: Evidence from time use surveys. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Tamás Hajdu.

GLO Admin — Sat, 14 Oct 2023 05:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows by scenarios that global warming will substantially decrease sleep duration.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1328, 2023

Temperature exposure and sleep duration: Evidence from time use surveys – Download PDF
by Hajdu, Tamás

GLO Fellow Tamás Hajdu

Author Abstract: The Earth’s climate is projected to warm significantly in the 21st century, and this will affect human societies in many ways. Since sleep is a basic human need and part of everyone’s life, the question of how temperature affects human sleep naturally arises. This paper examines the effect of daily mean temperature on sleep duration using nationally representative Hungarian time use surveys between 1976 and 2010. Compared to a mild temperature (5-10 °C), colder temperatures do not influence sleep duration. However, as daily mean temperatures rise, sleep duration starts to strongly decline. The effect of a hot (>25 °C) day is −12.4 minutes. The estimated sleep loss is especially large on weekends and public holidays, for older individuals, and for men. Combining the estimated effects with temperature projections of twenty-four climate models under four climate change scenarios shows that the warming climate will substantially decrease sleep duration. The projected impacts are especially large when taking into account of the effects of heatwave days. This study also shows that different groups in society are likely to be affected in significantly different ways by a warming climate.

Featured image: jordan-whitt-unsplash

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Overeducation, Performance Pay and Wages: Evidence from Germany. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Affiliate Mehrzad B. Baktash.

GLO Admin — Fri, 13 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows that overeducation associates with a higher likelihood of sorting into performance pay jobs.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1327, 2023

Overeducation, Performance Pay and Wages: Evidence from Germany – Download PDF
by Baktash, Mehrzad B.

GLO Affiliate Mehrzad B. Baktash

Author Abstract: Overeducated workers are more productive and have higher wages in comparison to their adequately educated coworkers in the same jobs. However, they face a series of challenges in the labor market, including lower wages in comparison to their similarly educated peers who are in correctly matched jobs. Yet, less consensus exists over the adjustment mechanisms to overcome the negative consequences of overeducation. This study examines the hypotheses that overeducated workers sort into performance pay jobs as an adjustment mechanism and that performance pay moderates their wages. Using German Socio-Economic Panel, I show that overeducation associates with a higher likelihood of sorting into performance pay jobs and that performance pay moderates the wages of overeducated workers positively. It also holds in endogenous switching regressions accounting for the potential endogeneity of performance pay. Importantly, the positive role of performance pay is particularly larger for the wages of overeducated women.

Featured image: Jason-Leung-on-unsplash

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Unionised dockworkers and port ownership structure in an international oligopoly. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Nicola Meccheri.

GLO Admin — Thu, 12 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows that relative to endogenous port ownership structures, state-owned ports appear as the most likely equilibrium result.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1326, 2023

GLO Fellow N icola Meccheri

Unionised dockworkers and port ownership structure in an international oligopoly – Download PDF
by Meccheri, Nicola

Author Abstract: In an international duopoly with two markets and two ports, this paper investigates the role of dockworkers unionisation in affecting welfare outcomes under public and private ports, as well as in determining the endogenous choice by governments of port ownership structure. While private ports maximise profits, public ports maximise domestic welfare and face a budget constraint, which is binding when unions are sufficiently wage-oriented and shipping costs are not too high. Consumer surplus, total wage bill and domestic welfare are generally higher under public ownership, especially when unions are wage-oriented. The opposite holds true for firm profits, whilst privatisation always increases port profits. Moreover, relative to endogenous port ownership structures, state-owned ports appear as the most likely equilibrium result although all possible configurations may arise in equilibrium, including an asymmetric structure with a state-owned port and a private port.

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Can a ban on child labour be self-enforcing? A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Alessandro Cigno.

GLO Admin — Wed, 11 Oct 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper explains the conditions when the ban is not self-enforcing.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1325, 2023

Can a ban on child labour be self-enforcing? – Download PDF
by Cigno, Alessandro

GLO Fellow Alessandro Cigno

Author Abstract: Basu and Van (1998) show that a ban on child labour may be self-enforcing if, above the subsistence level, no amount of consumption can compensate parents for the disutility of child labour. We show that a partial ban may be self-enforcing, but a total one never is, if education is available, and the disutility of child labour can be compensated by the expected utility of future consumption. If some of the work children do is not observable by the government, a ban may be only apparently self-enforcing, or actually counterproductive. If the government wants to reduce child labour and raise education to the efficient level, it can borrow from the international credit market to subsidize parents, and tax their children’s future wages to pay the loan back with interests.

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Teen Social Interactions and Well-being during the COVID-19 Pandemic. A new GLO Discussion Paper of Charlene Marie Kalenkoski and GLO Fellow Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia.

GLO Admin — Tue, 10 Oct 2023 14:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper suggests that socializing and communicating with others improves teens’ well-being over other activities. Thus, teens’ well-being in the USA was severely impacted by the pandemic.

Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1324, 2023

Teen Social Interactions and Well-being during the COVID-19 Pandemic – Download PDF
by Kalenkoski, Charlene Marie & Wulff Pabilonia, Sabrina

GLO Fellow Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia

Author Abstract: Adolescence is an important developmental period when teens begin spending less time with their parents and more time with friends and others outside their households as they transition into adulthood. Using the 2017-2021 American Time Use Surveys and the 2012, 2013, and 2021 Well-being Modules, we examine how the time teens spent alone and with parents, friends, and others changed during the COVID-19 pandemic, shedding light on how the social isolation of the pandemic disrupted this crucial development period. We also examine how time spent on various activities changed during the pandemic. Teens spent more time alone during the pandemic than before and spent more of their leisure time alone, with large increases in time spent playing computer games, on social media, and watching TV. Results suggest that socializing and communicating with others improves teens’ well-being over other activities. Thus, teens’ well-being was severely impacted by the pandemic.

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Urbanization and Women Empowerment: Evidence from India. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Punarjit Roychowdhury.

GLO Admin — Mon, 09 Oct 2023 01:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows for India that urbanization positively affects women’s labor market participation, agency within households, mobility, access to information, and attitudes toward domestic violence (thereby making them more likely to report incidences of violence).

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1323, 2023

Urbanization and Women Empowerment: Evidence from India – Download PDF
by Dhamija, Gaurav & Roychowdhury, Punarjit & Shankar, Binay

GLO Fellow Punarjit Roychowdhury

Author Abstract: The paper examines the short-term implications of urbanization on women empowerment in India. In theory, urbanization can affect women either positively or negatively. Women in urban areas, compared to their rural counterparts, are thought to enjoy greater social, economic, and political opportunities and freedoms. At the same time, research shows barriers to women’s empowerment remain widespread in urban environments. We measure urbanization using satellite-based nighttime light intensity data. Fixed effects estimation results show that urbanization positively affects women’s labor market participation, agency within households, mobility, access to information, and attitudes toward domestic violence (thereby making them more likely to report incidences of violence). However, the effect of urbanization on women’s financial autonomy is negative, and on health is mixed. These results, we show, are robust to unmeasured confounders to a large extent. In light of the rapid urbanization that India is currently experiencing, the importance of these findings cannot be overemphasized. They suggest that while urbanization could go a long way toward economically empowering women in India, the government also needs to devise complementary policies and interventions that could tackle the adverse consequences of urban expansion.

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Learning from the Origins. A new GLO Discussion Paper from GLO Affiliate Alexander Yarkin.

GLO Admin — Sun, 08 Oct 2023 13:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper focusing on the international migration network finds that opinion changes at the origins spill over to 1st- and 2nd-generation immigrants abroad.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1322, 2023

Learning from the Origins – Download PDF
by Yarkin, Alexander

GLO Affiliate Alexander Yarkin

Author Abstract: How do political preferences and voting behaviors respond to information coming from abroad? Focusing on the international migration network, I document that opinion changes at the origins spill over to 1st- and 2nd-generation immigrants abroad. Local diasporas, social media, and family ties to the origins facilitate the transmission, while social integration at destination weakens it. Using the variation in the magnitude, timing, and type of origin-country exposure to the European Refugee Crisis of 2015, I show that salient events trigger learning from the origins. Welcoming asylum policies at the origins decrease opposition to non-Europeans and far-right voting abroad. Transitory refugee flows through the origins send abroad the backlash. Data from Google Trends and Facebook suggests elevated attention to events at the origins and communication with like-minded groups as mechanisms. Similar spillovers following the passage of same-sex marriage laws show the phenomenon generalizes beyond refugee attitudes.

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Remote Work, Wages, and Hours Worked in the United States. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia & Victoria Vernon.

GLO Admin — Sat, 07 Oct 2023 15:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds for the United States that before the pandemic, remote workers worked substantially longer hours per week than on-site workers, but by 2021, hours worked were similar.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1321, 2023

Remote Work, Wages, and Hours Worked in the United States – Download PDF
by Wulff Pabilonia, Sabrina & Vernon, Victoria

GLO Fellows Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia & Victoria Vernon

Sabrina Pabilonia

Victoria Vernon

Author Abstract: Remote wage employment gradually increased in the United States during the four decades prior to the pandemic, then surged in 2020 due to social distancing policies implemented to stem the spread of COVID-19. Using the 2010-2021 American Community Survey, the authors examine trends in wage and hours differentials for full-time remote workers and office-based workers as well as within occupation differences in wage growth by work location. Throughout the period, remote workers earned higher wages than those working on-site, and the difference increased sharply during the pandemic. Real wages grew 4.4 percent faster for remote workers within detailed occupation groups and remote work intensity was positively associated with wage growth across occupations. Before the pandemic, remote workers worked substantially longer hours per week than on-site workers, but by 2021, hours were similar.

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Rural roads infrastructure and women empowerment in India. A new GLO Discussion Paper by Bharti Nandwani and GLO Fellow Punarjit Roychowdhury.

GLO Admin — Fri, 15 Sep 2023 05:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that increase in rural roads construction lowers mobility restrictions faced by women and improves norms around domestic violence.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1320, 2023

Rural roads infrastructure and women empowerment in India – Download PDF
by Nandwani, Bharti & Roychowdhury, Punarjit

GLO Fellow Punarjit Roychowdhury

Author Abstract: The paper examines the impact of a rural roads construction program in India on women’s outcomes. While spatial integration can provide women with increased education and employment opportunities, the extent of benefits might be limited by underlying gender norms. We identify the impact of the policy by exploiting the program rule that assigned roads based on the village population. Using a two-way fixed effect methodology, we find that increase in rural roads construction lowers mobility restrictions faced by women and improves norms around domestic violence. However, the result are mixed with respect to participation in other decision making and financial autonomy. Additionally, while we find positive impact on education, there is no impact on employment outcomes for females. We argue that a possible reason for a partial improvement in women outcomes could be gendered impact of the policy – men benefit more in terms of employment than women.

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The post Rural roads infrastructure and women empowerment in India. A new GLO Discussion Paper by Bharti Nandwani and GLO Fellow Punarjit Roychowdhury. appeared first on Global Labor Organization (GLO).

Violent Conflict and Parochial Trust: Lab-in-the-Field and Survey Evidence. A new GLO Discussion Paper by Katharina Werner and GLO Fellow Ahmed Skali.

GLO Admin — Thu, 14 Sep 2023 07:00:00 +0000

A new GLO Discussion Paper finds that experience with conflict induces parochialism: trust towards out-groups worsens, but trust towards in-groups, owing to positive experiences of kin solidarity, improves.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1319, 2023

Violent Conflict and Parochial Trust: Lab-in-the-Field and Survey Evidence – Download PDF
by Werner, Katharina & Skali, Ahmed

GLO Fellow Ahmed Skali

Author Abstract: How does conflict exposure affect trust? We hypothesize that direct (first-hand) experience with conflict induces parochialism: trust towards out-groups worsens, but trust towards in-groups, owing to positive experiences of kin solidarity, may improve. Indirect exposure to conflict through third-party accounts, on the other hand, reduces trust toward everyone. We find consistent support for our hypotheses in a lab-in-the-field experiment in Maluku, Indonesia, which witnessed a salient Christian-Muslim conflict during 1999-2002, as well as in three cross-country datasets exploiting temporal and spatial variation in exposure to violence. Our results help resolve a seeming contradiction in the literature and inform policies on resolving conflicts.

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Convergence in total greenhouse gas emissions worldwide. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Ignacio Belloc & José Alberto Molina.

GLO Admin — Wed, 13 Sep 2023 08:00:00 +0000

The new GLO Discussion Paper finds that income level, urbanization, natural resources dependency, renewables energy consumption, trade openness, and corruption level all matter.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1318, 2023

Convergence in total greenhouse gas emissions worldwide – Download PDF
by Belloc, Ignacio & Molina, José Alberto

GLO Fellows Ignacio Belloc & José Alberto Molina

Ignacio Belloc

José Alberto Molina

Author Abstract: This paper examines convergence patterns in total greenhouse gas emissions across 114 countries from 1990 to 2019. Prior research has largely focused on one representative greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide emissions, but our goal is to broaden the study. We use the club convergence test to contrast the null hypothesis of convergence for a pool of data and identify subgroups of convergence. The results reveal different clubs according to the air pollutant considered, indicating the importance of considering a range of air pollutants in convergence analyses. We also explore the main determinants of the observed convergence patterns and estimate various ordinal models. We find that income level, urbanization, natural resources dependency, renewables energy consumption, trade openness, and corruption level all contribute to explain these different patterns. Our determinant analyses especially note the importance of institutional quality. The results are important in reformulating current environmental policies, which are mostly based on the hypothesis of overall convergence, according to the different convergence clubs detected.

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Are Managers More Machiavellian Than Other Employees? A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Affiliate Mehrzad B. Baktash & GLO Fellow Uwe Jirjahn.

GLO Admin — Tue, 12 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0000

The new GLO Discussion Paper confirms a strong and positive relationship between Machiavellianism and occupying a managerial position.

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1317, 2023

Are Managers More Machiavellian Than Other Employees? – Download PDF
by Baktash, Mehrzad B. & Jirjahn, Uwe

GLO Affiliate Mehrzad B. Baktash & GLO Fellow Uwe Jirjahn

Mehrzad B. Baktash

Uwe Jirjahn

Author Abstract: Concerns about corporate scandals and abusive leadership suggest that individuals with an opportunistic and manipulative personality take advantage of incomplete incentive and control systems to get their way into managerial positions. Against this background, we examine whether there is an association between Machiavellianism and occupying a managerial position. We suggest how to incorporate the psychological concept of Machiavellianism into agency theory and hypothesize that individuals scoring high on Machiavellianism are more likely to attain and keep a managerial position. Using a large and representative panel dataset from Germany, our empirical analysis confirms a strong and positive relationship between Machiavellianism and occupying a managerial position. This result holds in various robustness checks and in instrumental variable estimations accounting for possible endogeneity. Furthermore, our analysis provides evidence that the relationship is monotone; i.e., those with the highest scores of Machiavellianism are most likely to be managers. It also suggests that the direction of influence runs from Machiavellianism to occupational status and not vice versa.

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The causal impact of mental health on tobacco and alcohol consumption: An instrumental variables approach. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellows Ha Nguyen & Huong Le and colleagues.

GLO Admin — Mon, 11 Sep 2023 09:00:00 +0000

The new GLO Discussion Paper finds that mental health morbidity causally leads to addictive behaviors.

Ha Trong Nguyen

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1316, 2023

The causal impact of mental health on tobacco and alcohol consumption: An instrumental variables approach – Download PDF
by Mitrou, Francis & Nguyen, Ha Trong & Le, Huong Thu & Zubrick, Stephen R.

GLO Fellows Ha Nguyen & Huong Le

Author Abstract: The reciprocal relationship between psychiatric and substance use disorders is well-known, yet it remains largely unknown whether mental health morbidity causally leads to addictive behaviours. This paper utilises a fixed effects instrumental variables model, which is identified by time-varying sources of plausibly exogenous variations in mental health, and a nationally representative panel dataset from Australia to present robust evidence on the causal impact of mental distress on cigarette smoking and alcohol drinking behaviours. We find that mental distress significantly increases the prevalence and intensity of either cigarette or alcohol consumption. Further analysis reveals that mental distress also substantially increases household monetary expenditures on either tobacco or alcohol. The impact is greater for lower educated individuals or children of smokers, and is slightly higher for males. Our findings highlight the importance of mental health screening and treatment programs, especially among lower educated individuals or children of smokers, to assist in the prevention of addictive activities.

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Women’s Education, Marriage, and Fertility Outcomes: Evidence from Thailand’s Compulsory Schooling Law. A new GLO Discussion Paper by Pasita Chaijaroen and GLO Fellow Pallavi Panda.

GLO Admin — Sat, 02 Sep 2023 05:00:00 +0000

The new GLO Discussion Paper finds that the extension of compulsory education lead to a consistent drop in the probability of marriage and cumulative births for Muslim women.

Pallavi Panda

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1314, 2023

Women’s Education, Marriage, and Fertility Outcomes: Evidence from Thailand’s Compulsory Schooling Law – Download PDF
by Chaijaroen, Pasita & Panda, Pallavi

GLO Fellow Pallavi Panda

Author Abstract: Increased education affects market and non-market outcomes. This paper investigates the causal impact of the extension of compulsory education from 6 to 9 years on females’ education, marriage, and fertility outcomes in Thailand. Using data from the Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) and a donut-hole Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, we show that the new law increases lower secondary school completion in girls, leading to decreased probabilities of giving birth in the school-age years (14-17 years). The policy primarily affects the marginal child leading to the postponement of the timing of their fertility to after-school years. We also document heterogeneity and show that the fertility effects are stronger for Muslim women. The policy leads to a consistent drop in the probability of marriage and cumulative births for Muslim women, which sustain beyond the completion of schooling years. The results hold with alternative empirical model specifications and falsification tests.

Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

JUST PUBLISHED
Vol. 36, Issue 3, July 2023: 26 articles on: Aspirations and preferences; Environment, Weather, Climate; Family; Fertility; Historical demography; Ageing, pensions, social security; Migration
ONLINE FIRST: 29 articles forthcoming in Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023.

CALL FOR PAPERS
JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
– Abortions
– Covid-19 and diseases
– Lifecycle fertility models
– Sexual and domestic violence
– Sexuality including LGBT issues
– Statistics & measurement of population economics
For more details and for examples of already published papers in these collections see:
https://glabor.org/collections-journal-of-population-economics-invites-paper-submissions-in-six-research-areas/
https://link.springer.com/journal/148/collections
JOPE Collections are a set of published papers on issues of significant relevance for the journal. Authors are continuously invited to submit their related work for evaluation stating their specific interest to contribute in the submission cover letter. JOPE Editors will treat those submissions with particular interest and speedy handling. Articles will be immediately published after final acceptance.

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