Artificial Intelligence and Employment: A Look into the Crystal Ball. A new GLO Discussion Paper by GLO Fellow Dario Guarascio, GLO Affiliate Jelena Reljic and Roman Stöllinger.

Discussion Paper, News, Post, Post-23

A new GLO Discussion Paper shows that AI exposure has a positive impact on regional employment in Europe.

Jelena Reljic

GLO Discussion Paper No. 1333, 2023

Artificial Intelligence and Employment: A Look into the Crystal Ball – Download PDF
by Guarascio, Dario & Reljic, Jelena & Stöllinger, Roman

GLO Fellow Dario Guarascio & GLO Affiliate Jelena Reljic

Author Abstract: This study provides evidence of the employment impact of AI exposure in European regions, addressing one of the many gaps in the emerging literature on AI’s effects on employment in Europe. Building upon the occupation-based AI-exposure indicators proposed by Felten et al. (2018, 2019, 2021), which are mapped to the European occupational classification (ISCO), following Albanesi et al. (2023), we analyse the regional employment dynamics between 2011 and 2018. After controlling for a wide range of supply and demand factors, our findings indicate that, on average, AI exposure has a positive impact on regional employment. Put differently, European regions characterised by a relatively larger share of AI-exposed occupations display, all else being equal and once potential endogeneity concerns are mitigated, a more favourable employment tendency over the period 2011-2018. We also find evidence of a moderating effect of robot density on the AI-employment nexus, which however lacks a causal underpinning.

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Journal of Population Economics (JOPE)
JOPE (2022): CiteScore 9.2 (LINK) & Impact Factor 6.1; 524 K Downloads

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ONLINE FIRST: 32 articles forthcoming in Volume 36, Issue 4, 2023. Covered issues: Historical demography; fertility and marriage; migration and refugee issues; health, vaccinations, risky behaviors; education; retirement; gender issues and preferences

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JOPE invites paper submissions for the following collections:
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