The GLO Discussion Paper of the Month March suggests that the public health measures adopted in China have effectively contained the virus outbreak there already around February 15.
GLO Discussion Papers are research and policy papers of the GLO Network which are widely circulated to encourage discussion. Provided in cooperation with EconStor, a service of the ZBW – Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, GLO Discussion Papers are among others listed in RePEc (see IDEAS, EconPapers). Complete list of all GLO DPs downloadable for free.
GLO Discussion Paper of the Month: March
GLO Discussion Paper No. 494, 2020
Impacts of Social and Economic Factors on the Transmission of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China
by Qiu, Yun & Chen, Xi & Shi, Wei
PDF of the GLO Discussion Paper
Related interview: #Coronavirus and now? GLO – Interview with Top #Health Economist Xi Chen of Yale University
Other related GLO activities.
GLO Fellows Yun Qiu & Xi Chen & Wei Shi
- Yun Qiu & Wei Shi are Professors at the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR), Jinan University, China
- Xi Chen is a Professor at Yale University & President of the China Health Policy and Management Society
Yun Qiu 
Xi Chen 
Wei Shi
Author Abstract: This paper examines the role of various socioeconomic factors in mediating the local and cross-city transmissions of the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) in China. We implement a machine learning approach to select instrumental variables that strongly predict virus transmission among the rich exogenous weather characteristics. Our 2SLS estimates show that the stringent quarantine, massive lockdown and other public health measures imposed in late January significantly reduced the transmission rate of COVID-19. By early February, the virus spread had been contained. While many socioeconomic factors mediate the virus spread, a robust government response since late January played a determinant role in the containment of the virus. We also demonstrate that the actual population flow from the outbreak source poses a higher risk to the destination than other factors such as geographic proximity and similarity in economic conditions. The results have rich implications for ongoing global efforts in containment of COVID-19.
GLO Discussion Papers of March 2020
506 The Dynamic Electoral Returns of a Large Anti-Poverty Program – Download PDF
by Zimmermann, Laura
505 Do Public Program Benefits Crowd Out Private Transfers in Developing Countries? A Critical Review of Recent Evidence – Download PDF
by Nikolov, Plamen & Bonci, Matthew
504 Why Guarantee Employment? Evidence from a Large Indian Public-Works Program – Download PDF
by Zimmermann, Laura
503 Wage Setting and Unemployment: Evidence from Online Job Vacancy Data – Download PDF
by Faryna, Oleksandr & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy
502 Sentiment, emotions and stock market predictability in developed and emerging markets – Download PDF
by Steyn, Dimitri H. W. & Greyling, Talita & Rossouw, Stephanie & Mwamba, John M.
501 Who’s declining the “free lunch”? New evidence from the uptake of public child dental benefits – Download PDF
by Nguyen, Ha Trong & Le, Huong Thu & Connelly, Luke B.
500 Paradise Postponed: Future Tense and Religiosity – Download PDF
by Mavisakalyan, Astghik & Tarverdi, Yashar & Weber, Clas
499 Game of Prejudice – Experiments at the Extensive and Intensive Margin – Download PDF
by Dasgupta, Utteeyo & Mani, Subha & Vecci, Joe & Želinský, Tomáš
498 Welfare Magnets and Internal Migration in China – Download PDF
by Jin, Zhangfeng
497 Gender Bias and Intergenerational Educational Mobility: Theory and Evidence from China and India – Download PDF
by Emran, M. Shahe & Jiang, Hanchen & Shilpi, Forhad
496 What Do Employers’ Associations Do? – Download PDF
by Martins, Pedro S.
495 Does vocational education pay off in China? Instrumental-variable quantile-regression evidence – Download PDF
by Dai, Li & Martins, Pedro S.
494 Impacts of Social and Economic Factors on the Transmission of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China – Download PDF
by Qiu, Yun & Chen, Xi & Shi, Wie
493 Flexible Work Arrangements and Precautionary Behavior: Theory and Experimental Evidence – Download PDF
by Orland, Andreas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud
492 Life Satisfaction, Subjective Wealth, and Adaptation to Vulnerability in the Russian Federation during 2002-2017 – Download PDF
by Dang, Hai-Anh H. & Abanokova, Kseniya & Lokshin, Michael M.
491 Unobserved Worker Quality and Inter-Industry Wage Differentials – Download PDF
by Ge, Suqin & Macieira, João
490 Climate Shocks and Teenage Fertility – Download PDF
by Dessy, Sylvain & Marchetta, Francesca & Pongou, Roland & Tiberti, Luca
489 Intergenerational Occupational Mobility in Latin American Economies: An Empirical Approach – Download PDF
by Doruk, Ömer Tuğsal & Pastore, Francesco & Yavuz, Hasan Bilgehan
488 Employee Training and Firm Performance: Quasi-experimental evidence from the European Social Fund – Download PDF
by Martins, Pedro S.
487 France
and Germany Exceed Italy, South Korea and Japan in Temperature-Adjusted
Corona Proliferation: A Quick and Dirty Sunday Morning Analysis – Download PDF
by Puhani, Patrick A.
486 Business visits, technology transfer and productivity growth – Download PDF
by Piva, Mariacristina & Tani, Massimiliano & Vivarelli, Marco
485 A Broken Social Elevator? Employment Outcomes of First- and Second-generation Immigrants in Belgium – Download PDF
by Piton, Céline & Rycx, François
484 What Does Someone’s Gender Identity Signal to Employers? – Download PDF
by Van Borm, Hannah & Dhoop, Marlot & Van Acker, Allien & Baert, Stijn
483 The Future of Work in Developing Economies: What can we learn from the South? – Download PDF
by Egana del Sol, Pablo
482 Performance Feedback and Peer Effects – Download PDF
by Villeval, Marie Claire
481 Ethnicity differentials in academic achievements: The role of time investments – Download PDF
by Nguyen,
Ha Trong & Connelly, Luke B. & Le, Huong Thu & Mitrou,
Francis & Taylor, Catherine L. & Zubrick, Stephen R.
480 Conversionary Protestants do not cause democracy – Download PDF
by Nikolova, Elena & Polansky, Jakub
GLO DP Managing Editor: Magdalena Ulceluse, University of Groningen. DP@glabor.org
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